Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 17.328850 19.725519 22.442100 25.771806 29.773756 34.467988 40.449077
2025-08-17 13.951495 16.897638 20.525988 25.398545 31.889246 40.414701 52.768937
2025-08-24 12.075031 15.230267 19.336623 25.209176 33.629520 45.665084 64.964045
2025-08-31 10.593259 13.769417 18.077956 24.545569 34.376060 49.434380 75.760387
2025-09-07 9.577750 12.770388 17.257455 24.283786 35.534348 53.899377 88.764255
2025-09-14 8.525459 11.585482 16.002429 23.146383 35.059960 55.522245 97.107666
2025-09-21 7.633880 10.537360 14.821929 21.942424 34.235611 56.305074 103.975155
2025-09-28 7.011995 9.827288 14.072480 21.319728 34.275199 58.611791 114.660353
2025-10-05 7.200428 10.351370 15.278970 24.087581 40.822576 74.922738 163.448948
2025-10-12 6.985285 10.221472 15.413489 25.005122 44.056196 85.325994 203.067969
2025-10-19 6.494565 9.608850 14.686036 24.263248 43.838230 87.985233 222.290753
2025-10-26 6.305201 9.470607 14.746217 24.990680 46.792807 98.898544 273.339683
2025-11-02 5.931870 9.014486 14.240977 24.624279 47.446361 104.633468 312.265159
2025-11-09 5.593372 8.594122 13.765097 24.264681 48.075071 110.595336 357.236626
2025-11-16 5.314317 8.254317 13.402659 24.086569 49.093622 118.003735 415.116913
2025-11-23 5.001604 7.834262 12.857175 23.460976 48.913316 121.849175 460.664400
2025-11-30 4.765099 7.532844 12.508642 23.214114 49.644760 128.834861 530.491274
2025-12-07 4.446975 7.066989 11.814465 22.140992 48.057448 127.776893 554.322030
2025-12-14 4.145328 6.615441 11.119724 21.004084 46.143196 125.157811 567.281739
2025-12-21 3.929662 6.308909 10.686766 20.415654 45.638004 127.442942 616.743704
2025-12-28 4.079966 6.679838 11.607722 23.029061 54.626653 168.981539 1046.017744
2026-01-04 4.030592 6.674782 11.774687 23.894225 58.775209 194.059901 1425.575209
2026-01-11 3.833409 6.378283 11.322231 23.194744 57.941046 196.792862 1563.263327